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Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2000 Sep 26;97(20):10850-4. doi: 10.1073/pnas.97.20.10850.

Predicting species diversity in tropical forests.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

J B Plotkin, M D Potts, D W Yu, S Bunyavejchewin, R Condit, R Foster, S Hubbell, J LaFrankie, N Manokaran, L H Seng, R Sukumar, M A Nowak, P S Ashton

Affiliations

  1. Institute for Advanced Study and Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.

PMID: 11005859 PMCID: PMC27112 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.97.20.10850

Abstract

A fundamental question in ecology is how many species occur within a given area. Despite the complexity and diversity of different ecosystems, there exists a surprisingly simple, approximate answer: the number of species is proportional to the size of the area raised to some exponent. The exponent often turns out to be roughly 1/4. This power law can be derived from assumptions about the relative abundances of species or from notions of self-similarity. Here we analyze the largest existing data set of location-mapped species: over one million, individually identified trees from five tropical forests on three continents. Although the power law is a reasonable, zeroth-order approximation of our data, we find consistent deviations from it on all spatial scales. Furthermore, tropical forests are not self-similar at areas

References

  1. Nature. 2000 Feb 24;403(6772):843-5 - PubMed
  2. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 1999 Dec 29;354(1392):1951-9 - PubMed
  3. Science. 1999 Apr 9;284(5412):334-6 - PubMed

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