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Rougier J, Sexton DM. Inference in ensemble experiments. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2007;365(1857):2133-43doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2071.
Rougier, J., & Sexton, D. M. (2007). Inference in ensemble experiments. Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 365(1857), 2133-43. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2071
Rougier, Jonathan, and Sexton, David M H. "Inference in ensemble experiments." Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences vol. 365,1857 (2007): 2133-43. doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2007.2071
Rougier J, Sexton DM. Inference in ensemble experiments. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2007 Aug 15;365(1857):2133-43. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2071. PMID: 17569648.
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Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2007 Aug 15;365(1857):2133-43. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2071.

Inference in ensemble experiments.

Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences

Jonathan Rougier, David M H Sexton

Affiliations

  1. Department of Mathematics, University of Bristol, University Walk, Bristol, UK. [email protected]

PMID: 17569648 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2071

Abstract

We consider inference based on ensembles of climate model evaluations, and contrast the Monte Carlo approach, in which the evaluations are selected at random from the model-input space, with a more overtly statistical approach using emulators and experimental design.

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