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Verburg PH, Koomen E, Hilferink M, et al. An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services. Landsc Ecol. 2012;27(4):473-486doi: 10.1007/s10980-012-9715-6.
Verburg, P. H., Koomen, E., Hilferink, M., Pérez-Soba, M., & Lesschen, J. P. (2012). An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services. Landscape ecology, 27(4), 473-486. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-012-9715-6
Verburg, Peter H, et al. "An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services." Landscape ecology vol. 27,4 (2012): 473-486. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-012-9715-6
Verburg PH, Koomen E, Hilferink M, Pérez-Soba M, Lesschen JP. An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services. Landsc Ecol. 2012;27(4):473-486. doi: 10.1007/s10980-012-9715-6. Epub 2012 Feb 11. PMID: 25983391; PMCID: PMC4426887.
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Landsc Ecol. 2012;27(4):473-486. doi: 10.1007/s10980-012-9715-6. Epub 2012 Feb 11.

An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services.

Landscape ecology

Peter H Verburg, Eric Koomen, Maarten Hilferink, Marta Pérez-Soba, Jan Peter Lesschen

Affiliations

  1. Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, de Boelelaan 1087, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  2. Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, VU University Amsterdam, de Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  3. ObjectVision B.V., de Boelelaan 1087, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  4. Alterra, PO Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.

PMID: 25983391 PMCID: PMC4426887 DOI: 10.1007/s10980-012-9715-6

Abstract

Measures of climate change adaptation often involve modification of land use and land use planning practices. Such changes in land use affect the provision of various ecosystem goods and services. Therefore, it is likely that adaptation measures may result in synergies and trade-offs between a range of ecosystems goods and services. An integrative land use modelling approach is presented to assess such impacts for the European Union. A reference scenario accounts for current trends in global drivers and includes a number of important policy developments that correspond to on-going changes in European policies. The reference scenario is compared to a policy scenario in which a range of measures is implemented to regulate flood risk and protect soils under conditions of climate change. The impacts of the simulated land use dynamics are assessed for four key indicators of ecosystem service provision: flood risk, carbon sequestration, habitat connectivity and biodiversity. The results indicate a large spatial variation in the consequences of the adaptation measures on the provisioning of ecosystem services. Synergies are frequently observed at the location of the measures itself, whereas trade-offs are found at other locations. Reducing land use intensity in specific parts of the catchment may lead to increased pressure in other regions, resulting in trade-offs. Consequently, when aggregating the results to larger spatial scales the positive and negative impacts may be off-set, indicating the need for detailed spatial assessments. The modelled results indicate that for a careful planning and evaluation of adaptation measures it is needed to consider the trade-offs accounting for the negative effects of a measure at locations distant from the actual measure. Integrated land use modelling can help land use planning in such complex trade-off evaluation by providing evidence on synergies and trade-offs between ecosystem services, different policy fields and societal demands.

Keywords: Climate change adaptation; Ecosystem services; Flood risk; Integrated spatial modelling; Land use; Soil protection

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