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AMIA Jt Summits Transl Sci Proc. 2015 Mar 25;2015:61-5. eCollection 2015.

A Probabilistic Reasoning Method for Predicting the Progression of Clinical Findings from Electronic Medical Records.

AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science

Travis Goodwin, Sanda M Harabagiu

Affiliations

  1. University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX, USA.

PMID: 26306238 PMCID: PMC4525214

Abstract

In this paper, we present a probabilistic reasoning method capable of generating predictions of the progression of clinical findings (CFs) reported in the narrative portion of electronic medical records. This method benefits from a probabilistic knowledge representation made possible by a graphical model. The knowledge encoded in the graphical model considers not only the CFs extracted from the clinical narratives, but also their chronological ordering (CO) made possible by a temporal inference technique described in this paper. Our experiments indicate that the predictions about the progression of CFs achieve high performance given the COs induced from patient records.

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