Display options
Cite
Evans RJ, Mammadov M. Dynamics of Ebola epidemics in West Africa 2014. F1000Res. 2014;3:319doi: 10.12688/f1000research.5941.2.
Evans, R. J., & Mammadov, M. (2014). Dynamics of Ebola epidemics in West Africa 2014. F1000Research, 3319. https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.5941.2
Evans, Robin J, and Mammadov, Musa. "Dynamics of Ebola epidemics in West Africa 2014." F1000Research vol. 3 (2014): 319. doi: https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.5941.2
Evans RJ, Mammadov M. Dynamics of Ebola epidemics in West Africa 2014. F1000Res. 2014 Dec 31;3:319. doi: 10.12688/f1000research.5941.2. eCollection 2014. PMID: 26834975; PMCID: PMC4722695.
Copy Download .nbib Format: NLM
Share it on

F1000Res. 2014 Dec 31;3:319. doi: 10.12688/f1000research.5941.2. eCollection 2014.

Dynamics of Ebola epidemics in West Africa 2014.

F1000Research

Robin J Evans, Musa Mammadov

Affiliations

  1. University of Melbourne, Parkville, 3010, Australia.
  2. Federation University, Ballarat, 3350, Australia.

PMID: 26834975 PMCID: PMC4722695 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.5941.2

Abstract

This paper investigates the dynamics of Ebola virus transmission in West Africa during 2014. The reproduction numbers for the total period of epidemic and for different consequent time intervals are estimated based on a simple linear model. It contains one major parameter - the average infectious period that defines the dynamics of epidemics. Numerical implementations are carried out on data collected from three countries Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia as well as the total data collected worldwide. Predictions are provided by considering different scenarios involving the average times of infectiousness for the next few months and the end of the current epidemic is estimated according to each scenario.

Keywords: dynamics; infectious period; infectiousness; simple linear model

References

  1. PLoS Curr. 2014 Nov 06;6:null - PubMed
  2. Euro Surveill. 2014 Sep 11;19(36):null - PubMed
  3. Biometrics. 2006 Dec;62(4):1170-7 - PubMed
  4. BMC Med. 2014 Oct 10;12:196 - PubMed
  5. N Engl J Med. 2014 Oct 16;371(16):1481-95 - PubMed
  6. PLoS Curr. 2014 Sep 02;6:null - PubMed
  7. J Theor Biol. 2004 Jul 7;229(1):119-26 - PubMed
  8. PLoS Curr. 2014 Nov 20;6:null - PubMed

Publication Types