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N Am Actuar J. 2016 Jan 01;20(1):57-64. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2015.1061946. Epub 2015 Oct 07.

Familial Risk for Exceptional Longevity.

North American actuarial journal : NAAJ

Paola Sebastiani, Stacy L Andersen, Avery I McIntosh, Lisa Nussbaum, Meredith D Stevenson, Leslie Pierce, Samantha Xia, Kelly Salance, Thomas T Perls

Affiliations

  1. Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston.
  2. New England Centenarian Study, Geriatrics Section, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston University School of Medicine.
  3. Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston; New England Centenarian Study, Geriatrics Section, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston University School of Medicine.

PMID: 27041978 PMCID: PMC4812435 DOI: 10.1080/10920277.2015.1061946

Abstract

One of the most glaring deficiencies in the current assessment of mortality risk is the lack of information concerning the impact of familial longevity. In this work, we update estimates of sibling relative risk of living to extreme ages using data from more than 1,700 sibships, and we begin to examine the trend for heritability for different birth-year cohorts. We also build a network model that can be used to compute the increased chance for exceptional longevity of a subject, conditional on his family history of longevity. The network includes familial longevity from three generations and can be used to understand the effects of paternal and maternal longevity on an individual's chance to live to an extreme age.

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