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Emerg Med J. 2017 Dec;34(12):823-824. doi: 10.1136/emermed-2017-206820. Epub 2017 May 12.

Spotting the black swan: why emergency medicine is ahead of the curve.

Emergency medicine journal : EMJ

Damian Roland

Affiliations

  1. SAPPHIRE Group, Health Sciences, Leicester University, Leicester, UK.
  2. Paediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic (PEMLA) Group, Children's Emergency Department, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK.

PMID: 28500088 DOI: 10.1136/emermed-2017-206820

Abstract

"Black Swans", originally described as an economic theory, are unexpected events whose potential to occur only becomes apparent after they have happened. The concept is very relevant to the practice of Emergency Medicine and this article explores how black swans impact on emergency care and how staff unconsciously aim to mitigate against them.

© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.

Keywords: Black Swans; Cognition; Decision Making; Emergency Care; Emergency Medicine

Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: None declared.

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