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Nature. 2017 Sep 13;549(7671):211-218. doi: 10.1038/nature23681.

Detecting recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer.

Nature

Martyn P Chipperfield, Slimane Bekki, Sandip Dhomse, Neil R P Harris, Birgit Hassler, Ryan Hossaini, Wolfgang Steinbrecht, Rémi Thiéblemont, Mark Weber

Affiliations

  1. School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.
  2. National Centre for Earth Observation, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.
  3. Laboratoire Atmosphères, Milieux, Observations Spatiales (LATMOS)-IPSL, UPMC/UVSQ, Paris, France.
  4. Centre for Atmospheric Informatics and Emissions Technology, Cranfield University, Cranfield MK43 0AL, UK.
  5. Bodeker Scientific, 9320 Alexandra, Central Otago, New Zealand.
  6. Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YQ, UK.
  7. Deutscher Wetterdienst, D-82383 Hohenpeissenberg, Germany.
  8. Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, D-28334 Bremen, Germany.

PMID: 28905899 DOI: 10.1038/nature23681

Abstract

As a result of the 1987 Montreal Protocol and its amendments, the atmospheric loading of anthropogenic ozone-depleting substances is decreasing. Accordingly, the stratospheric ozone layer is expected to recover. However, short data records and atmospheric variability confound the search for early signs of recovery, and climate change is masking ozone recovery from ozone-depleting substances in some regions and will increasingly affect the extent of recovery. Here we discuss the nature and timescales of ozone recovery, and explore the extent to which it can be currently detected in different atmospheric regions.

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