Clin Exp Gastroenterol. 2018 Apr 09;11:143-152. doi: 10.2147/CEG.S140655. eCollection 2018.
Systemic inflammatory response syndrome and model for end-stage liver disease score accurately predict the in-hospital mortality of black African patients with decompensated cirrhosis at initial hospitalization: a retrospective cohort study.
Clinical and experimental gastroenterology
Alassan Kouamé Mahassadi, Justine Laure Konang Nguieguia, Henriette Ya Kissi, Anthony Afum-Adjei Awuah, Aboubacar Demba Bangoura, Stanislas Adjeka Doffou, Alain Koffi Attia
Affiliations
Affiliations
- Medicine and Hepatogastroenterology Unit, Centre Hospitalier et Universitaire de Yopougon, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.
- Kumasi Centre for Collaborative Research in Tropical Medicine, Kumasi, Ghana.
PMID: 29670387
PMCID: PMC5898600 DOI: 10.2147/CEG.S140655
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) predict short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Prediction of mortality at initial hospitalization is unknown in black African patients with decompensated cirrhosis.
AIM: This study aimed to look at the role of MELD score and SIRS as the predictors of morbidity and mortality at initial hospitalization.
PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we enrolled 159 patients with cirrhosis (median age: 49 years, 70.4% males). The role of Child-Pugh-Turcotte (CPT) score, MELD score, and SIRS on mortality was determined by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the prognosis factors were assessed with Cox regression model.
RESULTS: At initial hospitalization, 74.2%, 20.1%, and 37.7% of the patients with cirrhosis showed the presence of ascites, hepatorenal syndrome, and esophageal varices, respectively. During the in-hospital follow-up, 40 (25.2%) patients died. The overall incidence of mortality was found to be 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.2-4.1] per 100 person-days. Survival probabilities were found to be high in case of patients who were SIRS negative (log-rank test= 4.51,
CONCLUSION: MELD score and SIRS can be used as tools for the prediction of mortality in black African patients with decompensated cirrhosis.
Keywords: Africa; MELD; SIRS; cirrhosis; mortality
Conflict of interest statement
Disclosure The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.
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