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United European Gastroenterol J. 2018 May;6(4):489-499. doi: 10.1177/2050640617752182. Epub 2018 Jan 08.

Results of surveillance in individuals at high-risk of pancreatic cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

United European gastroenterology journal

Marianna Signoretti, Marco J Bruno, Giulia Zerboni, Jan-Werner Poley, Gianfranco Delle Fave, Gabriele Capurso

Affiliations

  1. Digestive and Liver Disease Unit, S. Andrea Hospital, Rome, Italy.
  2. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

PMID: 29881603 PMCID: PMC5987280 DOI: 10.1177/2050640617752182

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Data on surveillance for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) in high-risk individuals (HRIs) with "familial pancreatic cancer" (FPC) and specific syndromes are limited and heterogeneous.

OBJECTIVE: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of PDAC surveillance studies in HRIs.

METHODS: Prevalence of solid/cystic pancreatic lesions and of lesions considered a successful target of surveillance (proven resectable PDAC and high-grade precursors) was pooled across studies. The rate of lesions diagnosed by endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and across different HRI groups was calculated.

RESULTS: Sixteen studies incorporating 1588 HRIs were included. The pooled prevalence of pancreatic solid and cystic lesions was 5.8% and 20.2%, respectively. The pooled prevalence of patients with lesions considered a successful target of surveillance was 3.3%, being similar to EUS or MRI and varying across subgroups, being 3% in FPC, 4% in hereditary pancreatitis, 5% in familial melanoma, 6.3% in hereditary breast/ovarian cancer, and 12.2% in Peutz-Jeghers syndrome. The pooled estimated rate of lesions considered a successful target of surveillance during follow-up was 5/1000 person-years.

CONCLUSION: Surveillance programs identify successful target lesions in 3.3% of HRIs with a similar yield of EUS and MRI and an annual risk of 0.5%. A higher rate of target lesions was reported in HRIs with specific DNA mutations.

Keywords: Pancreatic cancer; family history; meta-analysis; screening

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