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Sci Adv. 2018 Nov 14;4(11):eaau3523. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aau3523. eCollection 2018 Nov.

Soil erosion is unlikely to drive a future carbon sink in Europe.

Science advances

Emanuele Lugato, Pete Smith, Pasquale Borrelli, Panos Panagos, Cristiano Ballabio, Alberto Orgiazzi, Oihane Fernandez-Ugalde, Luca Montanarella, Arwyn Jones

Affiliations

  1. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Sustainable Resources Directorate, Via E. Fermi 2749, I-21027 Ispra (VA), Italy.
  2. Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, 23 St. Machar Drive, Aberdeen AB24 3UU, UK.
  3. Environmental Geosciences, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.

PMID: 30443596 PMCID: PMC6235540 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aau3523

Abstract

Understanding of the processes governing soil organic carbon turnover is confounded by the fact that C feedbacks driven by soil erosion have not yet been fully explored at large scale. However, in a changing climate, variation in rainfall erosivity (and hence soil erosion) may change the amount of C displacement, hence inducing feedbacks onto the land C cycle. Using a consistent biogeochemistry-erosion model framework to quantify the impact of future climate on the C cycle, we show that C input increases were offset by higher heterotrophic respiration under climate change. Taking into account all the additional feedbacks and C fluxes due to displacement by erosion, we estimated a net source of 0.92 to 10.1 Tg C year

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