Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2020 Aug;277(8):2341-2347. doi: 10.1007/s00405-020-05945-5. Epub 2020 Apr 01.
Predicting the treatment outcome of nivolumab in recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: prognostic value of combined performance status and modified Glasgow prognostic score.
European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery
Yushi Ueki, Takeshi Takahashi, Hisayuki Ota, Ryusuke Shodo, Keisuke Yamazaki, Arata Horii
Affiliations
Affiliations
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, 1-757, Asahimachi-dori, Chuo-ku, Niigata city, Niigata, 950-8510, Japan. [email protected].
- Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, 1-757, Asahimachi-dori, Chuo-ku, Niigata city, Niigata, 950-8510, Japan.
PMID: 32239313
DOI: 10.1007/s00405-020-05945-5
Abstract
PURPOSE: The importance of nivolumab for recurrent or metastatic (R/M) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is rapidly increasing. However, prognostic factors have not been determined for predicting treatment outcome. We aimed to investigate the prognostic factors in R/M HNSCC patients treated with nivolumab.
METHODS: This retrospective study included 42 patients with R/M HNSCC who received nivolumab therapy. Correlations of overall survival (OS) with various patient characteristics including age, recurrent/metastatic site, performance status (PS), programmed death-ligand 1 positivity, body mass index, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), previous cetuximab administration, and immune-related adverse events were investigated.
RESULTS: The overall response rate and disease control rate were 16.7% and 45.2%, respectively. Estimated 1-year OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were 56.4% and 24.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that PS = 2 (hazard ratio 0.147; 95% CI 0.041-0.527; p = 0.003) and mGPS = 2 (hazard ratio 0.188; 95% CI, 0.057-0.620; p = 0.006) were independent predictors of poor OS. Given that the PS and mGPS were independent prognostic factors, we classified patients into three groups according to PS and mGPS: Group 1, both PS and mGPS were 0 or 1 (n = 30); Group 2, either PS or mGPS was 2 (n = 9); Group 3, both PS and mGPS were 2 (n = 3). The OS curves were significantly stratified among the three groups.
CONCLUSION: The combination of PS and mGPS accurately predicted OS after nivolumab therapy. Preventive intervention to maintain general condition without simultaneously exceeding level 2 of PS and mGPS might be important for improving treatment outcomes of nivolumab.
Keywords: Modified Glasgow prognostic score; Nivolumab; Performance status; Prognostic factor
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