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CEAS Aeronaut J. 2020 Aug 30;1-17. doi: 10.1007/s13272-020-00468-5. Epub 2020 Aug 30.

Long-term application potential of urban air mobility complementing public transport: an upper Bavaria example.

CEAS aeronautical journal

K O Ploetner, C Al Haddad, C Antoniou, F Frank, M Fu, S Kabel, C Llorca, R Moeckel, A T Moreno, A Pukhova, R Rothfeld, M Shamiyeh, A Straubinger, H Wagner, Q Zhang

Affiliations

  1. Bauhaus Luftfahrt, Taufkirchen, Germany.
  2. Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
  3. University of Applied Sciences Ingolstadt, Ingolstadt, Germany.

PMID: 33403052 PMCID: PMC7456445 DOI: 10.1007/s13272-020-00468-5

Abstract

In this paper, the required models and methods to analyze and quantify the potential demand for urban air mobility (UAM) complementing public transport and possible impacts were defined and applied to the Munich Metropolitan region. An existing agent-based transport model of the study area were used and extended to cover socio-demographic changes up to the year 2030 and intermodal UAM services. An incremental logit model for UAM was derived to simulate demand for this new mode. An airport access model was developed as well. Three different UAM networks with different numbers of vertiports were defined. Sensitivity studies of ticket fare and structure, flying vehicle cruise speed, passenger process times at vertiports and different Urban Air Mobility networks sizes were performed. For the reference case, UAM accounts for a modal share of 0.5%. The absolute UAM demand is concentrated on very short routes; hence, UAM vehicle flight speed variation shows low UAM demand impacts. Kilometer-based fare, number of UAM vehicles per vertiport and passenger process times at vertiports show a significant impact on UAM demand.

© Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. 2020.

Keywords: Agent-based; Flying taxi; MATSim; Modelling; Simulation

Conflict of interest statement

Conflicts of interestThe author(s) declare that they have no competing interests

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