Display options
Share it on

Mod Pathol. 2021 Jul;34(7):1297-1309. doi: 10.1038/s41379-021-00743-8. Epub 2021 Feb 08.

Concordance between results of inexpensive statistical models and multigene signatures in patients with ER+/HER2- early breast cancer.

Modern pathology : an official journal of the United States and Canadian Academy of Pathology, Inc

Laurence Slembrouck, Isabelle Vanden Bempt, Hans Wildiers, Ann Smeets, Anne-Sophie Van Rompuy, Chantal Van Ongeval, Lynn Jongen, Caroline Weltens, Kevin Punie, Griet Hoste, Els Van Nieuwenhuysen, Sileny Han, Ines Nevelsteen, Patrick Neven, Giuseppe Floris

Affiliations

  1. Department of Oncology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium. [email protected].
  2. Deptartment of Human Genetics, University Hospitals Leuven, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  3. Department of Oncology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  4. Department of General Medical Oncology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  5. Department of Surgical Oncology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  6. Department of Imaging and Pathology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  7. Department of Pathology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  8. Department of Radiology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  9. Department of Radiotherapy Oncology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
  10. Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.

PMID: 33558657 DOI: 10.1038/s41379-021-00743-8

Abstract

Multigene signatures (MGS) are used to guide adjuvant chemotherapy (aCT) decisions in patients diagnosed with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer. We used results from three MGS (Oncotype DX® (ODX), MammaPrint® (MP) or Prosigna®) and assessed the concordance between high or low risk of recurrence and the predicted risk of recurrence based on statistical models. In addition, we looked at the impact of MGS results on final aCT administration during the multidisciplinary meeting (MDM). We retrospectively included 129 patients with ER-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer for which MGS testing was performed after MDM at University Hospitals Leuven between May 2013 and April 2019 in case there was doubt about aCT recommendation. Tumor tissue was analyzed either by ODX (N = 44), MP (N = 28), or Prosigna® (N = 57). Eight statistical models were computed: Magee equations (ME), Memorial Sloan Kettering simplified risk score (MSK-SRS), Breast Cancer Recurrence Score Estimator (BCRSE), OncotypeDXCalculator (ODXC), new Adjuvant! Online (nAOL), Mymammaprint.com (MyMP), PREDICT, and SiNK. Concordance, negative percent agreement, and positive percent agreement were calculated. Of 129 cases, 53% were MGS low and 47% MGS high risk. Concordances of 100.0% were observed between risk results obtained by ODX and ME. For MP, BCRSE demonstrated the best concordance, and for Prosigna® the average of ME. Concordances of <50.0% were observed between risk results obtained by ODX and nAOL, ODX and MyMP, ODX and SiNK, MP and MSK-SRS, MP and nAOL, MP and MyMP, MP and SiNK, and Prosigna® and ODXC. Integration of MGS results during MDM resulted in change of aCT recommendation in 47% of patients and a 15% relative and 9% absolute reduction. In conclusion, statistical models, especially ME and BCRSE, can be useful in selecting ER-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer patients who may need MGS testing resulting in enhanced cost-effectiveness and reduced delay in therapeutic decision-making.

References

  1. Cardoso F, van’t VeerLJ, Bogaerts J, Slaets L, Viale G, Delaloge S, et al. 70-gene signature as an aid to treatment decisions in early-stage breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2016;375:717–29. - PubMed
  2. Sparano JA, Gray RJ, Makower DF, Pritchard KI, Albain KS, Hayes DF, et al. Adjuvant chemotherapy guided by a 21-gene expression assay in breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2018;379:111–21. - PubMed
  3. Gnant M, Sestak I, Filipits M, Dowsett M, Balic M, Lopez-Knowles E, et al. Identifying clinically relevant prognostic subgroups of postmenopausal women with node-positive hormone receptor-positive early-stage breast cancer treated with endocrine therapy: a combined analysis of ABCSG-8 and ATAC using the PAM50 risk of recurrence score and intrinsic subtype. Ann Oncol. 2015;26:1685–91. - PubMed
  4. Parker JS, Mullins M, Cheang MC, Leung S, Voduc D, Vickery T, et al. Supervised risk predictor of breast cancer based on intrinsic subtypes. J Clin Oncol. 2009;27:1160–7. - PubMed
  5. Filipits M, Nielsen TO, Rudas M, Greil R, Stoger H, Jakesz R, et al. The PAM50 risk-of-recurrence score predicts risk for late distant recurrence after endocrine therapy in postmenopausal women with endocrine-responsive early breast cancer. Clin Cancer Res. 2014;20:1298–305. - PubMed
  6. Wallden B, Storhoff J, Nielsen T, Dowidar N, Schaper C, Ferree S, et al. Development and verification of the PAM50-based Prosigna breast cancer gene signature assay. BMC Med Genom. 2015;8:54. - PubMed
  7. Goncalves R, Bose R. Using multigene tests to select treatment for early-stage breast cancer. J Natl Compr Canc Netw. 2013;11:174–82. - PubMed
  8. Mittempergher L, Delahaye LJ, Witteveen A, Spangler JB, Hassenmahomed F, Mee S, et al. MammaPrint and BluePrint molecular diagnostics using targeted RNA next-generation sequencing technology. J Mol Diagn. 2019;21:808–23. - PubMed
  9. Slembrouck L, Darrigues L, Laurent C, Mittempergher L, Delahaye LJ, Vanden Bempt I, et al. Decentralization of next-generation RNA sequencing-based MammaPrint(R) and BluePrint(R) Kit at University Hospitals Leuven and Curie Institute Paris. Transl Oncol. 2019;12:1557–65. - PubMed
  10. Untch M, Thomssen C, Bauerfeind I, Braun M, Brucker SY, Felberbaum R, et al. Primary therapy of early breast cancer: evidence, controversies, consensus: spectrum of opinion of German specialists on the 16th St. Gallen International Breast Cancer Conference (Vienna 2019). Geburtshilfe Frauenheilkd. 2019;79:591–604. - PubMed
  11. Krop I, Ismaila N, Andre F, Bast RC, Barlow W, Collyar DE, et al. Use of biomarkers to guide decisions on adjuvant systemic therapy for women with early-stage invasive breast cancer: American Society of Clinical Oncology Clinical Practice Guideline Focused Update. J Clin Oncol. 2017;35:2838–47. - PubMed
  12. Andre F, Ismaila N, Henry NL, Somerfield MR, Bast RC, Barlow W, et al. Use of biomarkers to guide decisions on adjuvant systemic therapy for women with early-stage invasive breast cancer: ASCO Clinical Practice Guideline update-integration of results from TAILORx. J Clin Oncol. 2019;37:1956–64. - PubMed
  13. Cardoso F, Kyriakides S, Ohno S, Penault-Llorca F, Poortmans P, Rubio IT, et al. Early breast cancer: ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up. Ann Oncol. 2019;30:1674. - PubMed
  14. National Comprehensive Cancer Network. Breast Cancer (Version 6.2020). https://www.nccn.org/professionals/physician_gls/pdf/breast.pdf . 2020. Accessed 15 Aug 2020. - PubMed
  15. San Miguel L, Vlayen J, De Laet C. De moleculaire profileringstesten en hun bijdrage aan de beslissing ott behandeling met adjuvante chemotherapie bij borstkanker—EEN Rapid Assessment—Synthese. KCE Reports 237As. Brussel: Health Technology Assessment (HTA), Federaal Kenniscentrum voor de Gezondheidszorg (KCE); 2015. - PubMed
  16. Turner BM, Skinner KA, Tang P, Jackson MC, Soukiazian N, Shayne M, et al. Use of modified Magee equations and histologic criteria to predict the Oncotype DX recurrence score. Mod Pathol. 2015;28:921–31. - PubMed
  17. Allison KH, Kandalaft PL, Sitlani CM, Dintzis SM, Gown AM. Routine pathologic parameters can predict Oncotype DX recurrence scores in subsets of ER positive patients: who does not always need testing? Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2012;131:413–24. - PubMed
  18. Baskota SU, Dabbs DJ, Clark BZ, Bhargava R. Prosigna® breast cancer assay: histopathologic correlation, development, and assessment of size, nodal status, Ki-67 (SiNK™) index for breast cancer prognosis. Mod Pathol. 2021;34:70–6. - PubMed
  19. Allison KH, Hammond MEH, Dowsett M, McKernin SE, Carey LA, Fitzgibbons PL, et al. Estrogen and Progesterone Receptor Testing in Breast Cancer: ASCO/CAP Guideline update. J Clin Oncol. 2020;38:1346–66. - PubMed
  20. Wolff AC, Hammond MEH, Allison KH, Harvey BE, Mangu PB, Bartlett JMS, et al. Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 testing in breast cancer: American Society of Clinical Oncology/College of American Pathologists Clinical Practice Guideline focused update. J Clin Oncol. 2018;36:2105–22. - PubMed
  21. Harvey JM, Clark GM, Osborne CK, Allred DC. Estrogen receptor status by immunohistochemistry is superior to the ligand-binding assay for predicting response to adjuvant endocrine therapy in breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 1999;17:1474–81. - PubMed
  22. Sparano JA, Gray RJ, Ravdin PM, Makower DF, Pritchard KI, Albain KS, et al. Clinical and genomic risk to guide the use of adjuvant therapy for breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2019;380:2395–405. - PubMed
  23. Klein ME, Dabbs DJ, Shuai Y, Brufsky AM, Jankowitz R, Puhalla SL, et al. Prediction of the Oncotype DX recurrence score: use of pathology-generated equations derived by linear regression analysis. Mod Pathol. 2013;26:658–64. - PubMed
  24. UPCM University of Pittsburgh Medical Center. Estimating Oncotype DX Recurrence Score. http://path.upmc.edu/onlineTools/mageeequations.html . 2018. Accessed 30 Aug 2019. - PubMed
  25. Bhargava R, Clark BZ, Dabbs DJ. Breast cancers with magee equation score of less than 18, or 18–25 and Mitosis Score of 1, do not require oncotype DX testing: a value study. Am J Clin Pathol. 2019;151:316–23. - PubMed
  26. Eaton AA, Pesce CE, Murphy JO, Stempel MM, Patil SM, Brogi E, et al. Estimating the OncotypeDX score: validation of an inexpensive estimation tool. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2017;161:435–41. - PubMed
  27. Johns Hopkins University. Breast Cancer Recurrence Score Estimator. http://www.breastrecurrenceestimator.onc.jhmi.edu/ . 2016. Accessed 6 Sep 2019. - PubMed
  28. Kim HS, Umbricht CB, Illei PB, Cimino-Mathews A, Cho S, Chowdhury N, et al. Optimizing the use of gene expression profiling in early-stage breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2016;34:4390–7. - PubMed
  29. University of Tennessee Medical Center. Updated breast cancer nomograms: prediction for a low-risk and a high-risk oncotype DX Recurrence Score 2019. https://utgsm.shinyapps.io/OncotypeDXCalculator/ . 2019. Accessed 6 Sep 2019. - PubMed
  30. Orucevic A, Bell JL, King M, McNabb AP, Heidel RE. Nomogram update based on TAILORx clinical trial results - Oncotype DX breast cancer recurrence score can be predicted using clinicopathologic data. Breast. 2019;46:116–25. - PubMed
  31. Adjuvant! Online. http://www.newadjuvant.com/ . 2018. Accessed 5 Jun 2018. - PubMed
  32. Ravdin PM, Siminoff LA, Davis GJ, Mercer MB, Hewlett J, Gerson N, et al. Computer program to assist in making decisions about adjuvant therapy for women with early breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2001;19:980–91. - PubMed
  33. Olivotto IA, Bajdik CD, Ravdin PM, Speers CH, Coldman AJ, Norris BD, et al. Population-based validation of the prognostic model ADJUVANT! for early breast cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2005;23:2716–25. - PubMed
  34. MyMammaprint. http://www.mymammaprint.com/ . 2016. Accessed 6 Sep 2019. - PubMed
  35. Public Health England and Cambridge University. PREDICT Tool Version 2.1 breast cancer. https://breast.predict.nhs.uk/about/technical/publications . 2017. Accessed 6 Sep 2019. - PubMed
  36. Candido Dos Reis FJ, Wishart GC, Dicks EM, Greenberg D, Rashbass J, Schmidt MK, et al. An updated PREDICT breast cancer prognostication and treatment benefit prediction model with independent validation. Breast Cancer Res. 2017;19:58. - PubMed
  37. Wishart GC, Bajdik CD, Azzato EM, Dicks E, Greenberg DC, Rashbass J, et al. A population-based validation of the prognostic model PREDICT for early breast cancer. Eur J Surg Oncol. 2011;37:411–7. - PubMed
  38. McCarty KS,Jr., Miller LS, Cox EB, Konrath J, McCarty KS,Sr. Estrogen receptor analyses. Correlation of biochemical and immunohistochemical methods using monoclonal antireceptor antibodies. Arch Pathol Lab Med. 1985;109:716–21. - PubMed
  39. Shousha S. Oestrogen receptor status of breast carcinoma: Allred/H score conversion table. Histopathology. 2008;53:346–7. - PubMed
  40. Harbeck N, Penault-Llorca F, Cortes J, Gnant M, Houssami N, Poortmans P, et al. Breast cancer. Nat Rev Dis Prim. 2019;5:66. - PubMed
  41. Goldhirsch A, Winer EP, Coates AS, Gelber RD, Piccart-Gebhart M, Thurlimann B, et al. Personalizing the treatment of women with early breast cancer: highlights of the St Gallen International Expert Consensus on the Primary Therapy of Early Breast Cancer. Ann Oncol. 2013;24:2206–23. - PubMed
  42. Van Asten K, Slembrouck L, Olbrecht S, Jongen L, Brouckaert O, Wildiers H, et al. Prognostic value of the progesterone receptor by subtype in patients with estrogen receptor-positive, HER-2 negative breast cancer. Oncologist. 2019;24:165–71. - PubMed
  43. Chaudhary LN, Jawa Z, Szabo A, Visotcky A, Chitambar CR. Relevance of progesterone receptor immunohistochemical staining to Oncotype DX recurrence score. Hematol Oncol Stem Cell Ther. 2016;9:48–54. - PubMed
  44. Clark BZ, Dabbs DJ, Cooper KL, Bhargava R. Impact of progesterone receptor semiquantitative immunohistochemical result on Oncotype DX recurrence score: a quality assurance study of 1074 cases. Appl Immunohistochem Mol Morphol. 2013;21:287–91. - PubMed
  45. Thibodeau S, Voutsadakis IA. Prediction of Oncotype Dx recurrence score using clinical parameters: a comparison of available tools and a simple predictor based on grade and progesterone receptor. Hematol Oncol Stem Cell Ther. 2019;12:89–96. - PubMed
  46. Huang JL, Kizy S, Marmor S, Altman A, Blaes A, Beckwith H, et al. Tumor grade and progesterone receptor status predict 21-gene recurrence score in early stage invasive breast carcinoma. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2018;172:671–7. - PubMed
  47. Purdie CA, Quinlan P, Jordan LB, Ashfield A, Ogston S, Dewar JA, et al. Progesterone receptor expression is an independent prognostic variable in early breast cancer: a population-based study. Br J Cancer. 2014;110:565–72. - PubMed
  48. Brouckaert O, Van Calster B, Paridaens R, Wildiers H, Van Limbergen E, Weltens C. Abstract P6-07-19: prognostic relevance of PR and detection mode in Luminal Her-2 negative breast cancer. Cancer Res. 2012;72 (Suppl 24):1–1. - PubMed
  49. Bardou VJ, Arpino G, Elledge RM, Osborne CK, Clark GM. Progesterone receptor status significantly improves outcome prediction over estrogen receptor status alone for adjuvant endocrine therapy in two large breast cancer databases. J Clin Oncol. 2003;21:1973–9. - PubMed
  50. Creighton CJ, Kent Osborne C, van de Vijver MJ, Foekens JA, Klijn JG, Horlings HM, et al. Molecular profiles of progesterone receptor loss in human breast tumors. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2009;114:287–99. - PubMed
  51. Rakha EA, El-Sayed ME, Lee AH, Elston CW, Grainge MJ, Hodi Z, et al. Prognostic significance of Nottingham histologic grade in invasive breast carcinoma. J Clin Oncol. 2008;26:3153–8. - PubMed
  52. Abdel-Fatah TM, Powe DG, Ball G, Lopez-Garcia MA, Habashy HO, Green AR, et al. Proposal for a modified grading system based on mitotic index and Bcl2 provides objective determination of clinical outcome for patients with breast cancer. J Pathol. 2010;222:388–99. - PubMed
  53. Giuliano AE, Connolly JL, Edge SB, Mittendorf EA, Rugo HS, Solin LJ, et al. Breast cancer-major changes in the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition cancer staging manual. CA Cancer J Clin. 2017;67:290–303. - PubMed
  54. Isaacs C, Stearns V, Hayes DF. New prognostic factors for breast cancer recurrence. Semin Oncol. 2001;28:53–67. - PubMed
  55. Hajjaji N, Robin YM, Bonneterre J. Should a multigene signature be used in all luminal early breast cancers. Front Oncol. 2019;9:454. - PubMed
  56. Bhutiani N, Egger ME, Ajkay N, Scoggins CR, Martin RC 2nd, McMasters KM. Multigene signature panels and breast cancer therapy: patterns of use and impact on clinical decision making. J Am Coll Surg. 2018;226:406–12.e1. - PubMed
  57. Hequet D, Callens C, Gentien D, Albaud B, Mouret-Reynier MA, Dubot C, et al. Prospective, multicenter French study evaluating the clinical impact of the Breast Cancer Intrinsic Subtype-Prosigna® Test in the management of early-stage breast cancers. PLoS ONE. 2017;12:e0185753. - PubMed
  58. Bhargava R, Clark BZ, Carter GJ, Brufsky AM, Dabbs DJ. The healthcare value of the Magee Decision Algorithm™: use of Magee Equations™ and mitosis score to safely forgo molecular testing in breast cancer. Mod Pathol. 2020;33:1563–70. - PubMed
  59. Robertson SJ, Ibrahim MFK, Stober C, Hilton J, Kos Z, Mazzarello S, et al. Does integration of Magee equations into routine clinical practice affect whether oncologists order the Oncotype DX test? A prospective randomized trial. J Eval Clin Pract. 2019;25:196–204. - PubMed
  60. de Lima MAG, Clemons M, Van Katwyk S, Stober C, Robertson SJ, Vandermeer L, et al. Cost analysis of using Magee scores as a surrogate of Oncotype DX for adjuvant treatment decisions in women with early breast cancer. J Eval Clin Pract. 2020;26:889–92. - PubMed
  61. Markopoulos C, Hyams DM, Gomez HL, Harries M, Nakamura S, Traina T, et al. Multigene assays in early breast cancer: Insights from recent phase 3 studies. Eur J Surg Oncol. 2020;46:656–66. - PubMed

Publication Types