Emerg Med J. 2021 Dec 21; doi: 10.1136/emermed-2021-211266. Epub 2021 Dec 21.
Monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 is not predictive of cardiac events in patients with non-low-risk chest pain.
Emergency medicine journal : EMJ
Nicklaus P Ashburn, Anna C Snavely, Brandon R Allen, Robert H Christenson, David M Herrington, Brian C Hiestand, Chadwick D Miller, Jason P Stopyra, Simon A Mahler
Affiliations
Affiliations
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA [email protected].
- Department of Cardiology, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
- Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
- Department of Pathology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
- Departments of Epidemiology and Prevention and Implementation Science, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.
PMID: 34933919
DOI: 10.1136/emermed-2021-211266
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Prior studies suggest monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) may be useful for risk stratifying ED patients with chest pain. We hypothesise that MCP-1 will be predictive of 90-day major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in non-low-risk patients.
METHODS: A case-control study was nested within a prospective multicentre cohort (STOP-CP), which enrolled adult patients being evaluated for acute coronary syndrome at eight US EDs from 25 January 2017 to 06 September 2018. Patients with a History, ECG, Age, and Risk factor score (HEAR score) ≥4 or coronary artery disease (CAD), a non-ischaemic ECG, and non-elevated contemporary troponins at 0 and 3 hours were included. Cases were patients with 90-day MACE (all-cause death, myocardial infarction or revascularisation). Controls were patients without MACE selected with frequency matching using age, sex, race, and HEAR score or the presence of CAD. Serum MCP-1 was measured. Sensitivity and specificity were determined for cut-off points of 194 pg/mL, 200 pg/mL, 238 pg/mL and 281 pg/mL. Logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, race, and HEAR score/presence of CAD was used to determine the association between MCP-1 and 90-day MACE. A separate logistic model also included high-sensitivity troponin (hs-cTnT).
RESULTS: Among 40 cases and 179 controls, there was no difference in age (p=0.90), sex (p=1.00), race (p=0.85), or HEAR score/presence of CAD (p=0.89). MCP-1 was similar in cases (median 191.9 pg/mL, IQR: 161.8-260.1) and controls (median 196.6 pg/mL, IQR: 163.0-261.1) (p=0.48). At a cut-off point of 194 pg/mL, MCP-1 was 50.0% (95% CI 33.8% to 66.2%) sensitive and 46.9% (95% CI 39.4% to 54.5%) specific for 90-day MACE. After adjusting for covariates, MCP-1 was not associated with 90-day MACE at any cut-off point (at 194 pg/mL, OR 0.88 (95% CI 0.43 to 1.79)). When including hs-cTnT in the model, MCP-1 was not associated with 90-day MACE at any cut-off point (at 194 pg/mL, OR 0.85 (95% CI 0.42 to 1.73)).
CONCLUSION: MCP-1 is not predictive of 90-day MACE in patients with non-low-risk chest pain.
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.
Keywords: acute coronary syndrome; acute myocardial infarct; cardiac care; chest; diagnosis
Conflict of interest statement
Competing interests: NPA receives research funding from the Emergency Medicine Foundation (EMF18_EMRA_RESR_0012). ACS receives funding from NHLBI (1RO1HL118263-01) and HRSA (1H2ARH399760100). BA recei
Publication Types