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Financing agricultural drought risk through ex-ante cash transfers.

The Science of the total environment

Guimarães Nobre G, Davenport F, Bischiniotis K, Veldkamp T, Jongman B, Funk CC, Husak G, Ward PJ, Aerts JCJH.
PMID: 30414582
Sci Total Environ. 2019 Feb 25;653:523-535. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.406. Epub 2018 Oct 31.

Despite advances in drought early warning systems, forecast information is rarely used for triggering and financing early actions, such as cash transfer. Scaling up cash transfer pay-outs, and overcoming the barriers to actions based on forecasts, requires an understanding...

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Guimarães Nobre G, Davenport F, Bischiniotis K, et al. Financing agricultural drought risk through ex-ante cash transfers. Sci Total Environ. 2018;653:523-535doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.406.
Guimarães Nobre, G., Davenport, F., Bischiniotis, K., Veldkamp, T., Jongman, B., Funk, C. C., Husak, G., Ward, P. J., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2019). Financing agricultural drought risk through ex-ante cash transfers. The Science of the total environment, 653523-535. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.406
Guimarães Nobre, Gabriela, et al. "Financing agricultural drought risk through ex-ante cash transfers." The Science of the total environment vol. 653 (2019): 523-535. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.406
Guimarães Nobre G, Davenport F, Bischiniotis K, Veldkamp T, Jongman B, Funk CC, Husak G, Ward PJ, Aerts JCJH. Financing agricultural drought risk through ex-ante cash transfers. Sci Total Environ. 2019 Feb 25;653:523-535. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.406. Epub 2018 Oct 31. PMID: 30414582.
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Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe.

Scientific reports

Guimarães Nobre G, Hunink JE, Baruth B, Aerts JCJH, Ward PJ.
PMID: 30718693
Sci Rep. 2019 Feb 04;9(1):1277. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-38091-4.

Studies show that climate variability drives interannual changes in meteorological variables in Europe, which directly or indirectly impacts crop production. However, there is no climate-based decision model that uses indices of atmospheric oscillation to predict agricultural production risks in...

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Guimarães Nobre G, Hunink JE, Baruth B, et al. Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe. Sci Rep. 2019;9(1):1277doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-38091-4.
Guimarães Nobre, G., Hunink, J. E., Baruth, B., Aerts, J. C. J. H., & Ward, P. J. (2019). Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe. Scientific reports, 9(1), 1277. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-38091-4
Guimarães Nobre, Gabriela, et al. "Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe." Scientific reports vol. 9,1 (2019): 1277. doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-38091-4
Guimarães Nobre G, Hunink JE, Baruth B, Aerts JCJH, Ward PJ. Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe. Sci Rep. 2019 Feb 04;9(1):1277. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-38091-4. PMID: 30718693; PMCID: PMC6361969.
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A framework for comparing permanent and forecast-based flood risk-reduction strategies.

The Science of the total environment

Bischiniotis K, de Moel H, van den Homberg M, Couasnon A, Aerts J, Guimarães Nobre G, Zsoter E, van den Hurk B.
PMID: 32146396
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Jun 10;720:137572. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137572. Epub 2020 Feb 26.

Flood risk can be reduced at various stages of the disaster management cycle. Traditionally, permanent infrastructure is used for flood prevention, while residual risk is managed with emergency measures that are triggered by forecasts. Advances in flood forecasting hold...

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Bischiniotis K, de Moel H, van den Homberg M, et al. A framework for comparing permanent and forecast-based flood risk-reduction strategies. Sci Total Environ. 2020;720:137572doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137572.
Bischiniotis, K., de Moel, H., van den Homberg, M., Couasnon, A., Aerts, J., Guimarães Nobre, G., Zsoter, E., & van den Hurk, B. (2020). A framework for comparing permanent and forecast-based flood risk-reduction strategies. The Science of the total environment, 720137572. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137572
Bischiniotis, Konstantinos, et al. "A framework for comparing permanent and forecast-based flood risk-reduction strategies." The Science of the total environment vol. 720 (2020): 137572. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137572
Bischiniotis K, de Moel H, van den Homberg M, Couasnon A, Aerts J, Guimarães Nobre G, Zsoter E, van den Hurk B. A framework for comparing permanent and forecast-based flood risk-reduction strategies. Sci Total Environ. 2020 Jun 10;720:137572. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137572. Epub 2020 Feb 26. PMID: 32146396.
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