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PLoS One. 2015 Nov 06;10(11):e0141648. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0141648. eCollection 2015.

Changes and Relationships of Climatic and Hydrological Droughts in the Jialing River Basin, China.

PloS one

Xiaofan Zeng, Na Zhao, Huaiwei Sun, Lei Ye, Jianqing Zhai

Affiliations

  1. State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, Institute of Water Resources of Hydropower Research, Beijing, China.
  2. School of Hydropower & Information Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
  3. National Climate Centre, China Meteorological Administration, Nr. 46, Zhongguancun South Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China.

PMID: 26544070 PMCID: PMC4636145 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0141648

Abstract

The comprehensive assessment of climatic and hydrological droughts in terms of their temporal and spatial evolutions is very important for water resources management and social development in the basin scale. To study the spatial and temporal changes of climatic and hydrological droughts and the relationships between them, the SPEI and SDI are adopted to assess the changes and the correlations of climatic and hydrological droughts by selecting the Jialing River basin, China as the research area. The SPEI and SDI at different time scales are assessed both at the entire Jialing River basin and at the regional levels of the three sub basins. The results show that the SPEI and SDI are very suitable for assessing the changes and relationships of climatic and hydrological droughts in large basins. Based on the assessment, for the Jialing River basin, climatic and hydrological droughts have the increasing tendency during recent several decades, and the increasing trend of climatic droughts is significant or extremely significant in the western and northern basin, while hydrological drought has a less significant increasing trend. Additionally, climatic and hydrological droughts tend to increase in the next few years. The results also show that on short time scales, climatic droughts have one or two months lag impact on hydrological droughts in the north-west area of the basin, and have one month lag impact in south-east area of the basin. The assessment of climatic and hydrological droughts based on the SPEI and SDI could be very useful for water resources management and climate change adaptation at large basin scale.

References

  1. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2012 Sep;66(9):759-60 - PubMed
  2. Science. 2007 May 25;316(5828):1181-4 - PubMed

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